Paul

“Not I, not any one else can travel that road for you. You must travel it for yourself.” ― Walt Whitman “The teacher is of course an artist, but being an artist does not mean that he or she can make the profile, can shape the students. What an educator does in teaching is to make it possible for the students to become themselves.” ― Paulo Freire We return to this post, "Wolverine Trading's Book: Hiding in Plain Sight," so soon after it was originally published, to make a critical point. Moreover, the timing of this exercise is particularly relevant given the catalyst that Alphacution was recently - and, to be fair, ever so politely - judged as lacking the level of insightfulness necessary to win an engagement that should have already been in the bag. (It ain't cash 'til it's cash...) Inherently configured as one who is typically long the challenges and short the easy road, and therefore game to make an appeal for what will eventually turn out to be [...]

"Study the science of art. Study the art of science. Develop your senses. Especially learn how to see. Realize that everything connects to everything else.” - Leonardo da Vinci With this one, we're just going to let the visuals speak for themselves, for now - and see how that goes... I lied... Except for this: We have modeled all the 13F reports we could find on Wolverine entities. With the recent post on Jump Trading in mind, notice anything missing?

“Turning points in human consciousness occur when new energy regimes converge with new communications revolutions, creating new economic eras.” – Jeremy Rifkin Like watching a movie in slow motion, this week Alphacution adds some incremental modeling on UBS and Credit Suisse to its recent analysis on bank-owned broker-dealers.  We start with this metaphor to emphasize the caveat that anything observed in slow motion may be prone to some illusion. So, this opening is simply fair warning - and a grain of salt. Also, for those of you who are new to the thread and want to catch up, we started with "Remembering Deutsche Bank: A Market Macro-Structure Canary?" and then followed with "Goldman, Morgan and Deutsche: Comparing Bank-Owned Broker-Dealers in Equities." Both are worth a read... (The rest of us will wait here while you do so.) Anyway, if we were to take Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc. (DBSI) as a guide, wherein 18-year lows of measures like gross cash equities - which is the sum of equities owned and equities "sold [...]

"You can’t connect the dots looking forward; you can only connect them looking backwards. So you have to trust that the dots will somehow connect in your future." - Steve Jobs In a Feed post entitled, "Remembering Deutsche Bank: A Market Macro-Structure Canary?," Alphacution hinted that our modeling of Deutsche Bank Securities, Inc. (DBSI) was really a "first step towards quantifying the ongoing battle between and among bank and non-bank broker-dealers (BDs) and market makers..." Well, perhaps this post is the second step. So, let's briefly revisit why measuring and comparing various BDs at the center of the market ecosystem - otherwise known as the structural alpha zone - might be important: By now, many of you are familiar with Alphacution's asset management ecosystem map and our core hypothesis that since the capacity of alpha is finite, dominant players that operate in closest proximity to sources of liquidity ultimately impact the capacity of residual alpha that is available to be harvested in neighboring sectors of the map, namely the active [...]

"If you can't join them, beat them." - Mort Sahl In accordance with Rule 24b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (the "Act"), D. E. Shaw & Co., L.P., on behalf of D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. and their affiliates (collectively, the "Firm"), hereby requests confidential treatment of the information contained in the enclosed Form 13F for the quarter ended September 30, 1998 (the "Form 13F"). Such request is made pursuant to Section 13(f)(3) of the Act, which allows the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "Commission") to prevent or delay public disclosure of information contained in the Schedule 13F. The Firm believes that the information contained in the enclosed Form 13F falls under Exemption 4 of the Freedom of Information Act ("FOIA"), which states that "trade secrets and commercial or financial information obtained from a person that is privileged or confidential" may be withheld from disclosure. In addition, in accordance with Rule 24b-2 of the Act and with Interpretive Release No. 65 under the Freedom of Information Act, [...]

"When we try to pick out anything by itself, we find it hitched to everything else in the Universe." - John Muir, Mountaineer It's one thing to build models and share insights about specific players in the trading and asset management universe. It's an entirely different thing to perform comparative analysis of that specific modeling to develop various rankings of a community of players. This latter point is precisely where the accumulation of Alphacution's modeling and research is now taking us, and that new level of insight is, frankly, a bit mindblowing. Our previous Feed post that illuminated an apparent anomaly with Jane Street's stock selection strategy was one of our first examples. For this one, we look at a ranking of average stock positions by shares for a selection of leading quant hedge fund managers, market makers and proprietary trading firms.  Now, what's truly fascinating here is if you consider these players in order of average stock position (by shares) you realize that what you are simultaneously looking at [...]